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This week, numbers 17 through 13 are in both rankings. That wraps up the bottom half and gets us ready for the top (insert your own number here) where things get more serious. The official vote listed a group of AHL players who could maybe be more someday if all goes well.
Official vote
17 Jacob Quillan
2024 T25U25: Jacob Quillan is #17
One of the newer prospects, set to join the organization as an NCAA free agent, makes his debut in our Top 25 Under 25 series.
16 Ryan Tverberg
2024 T25U25: Ryan Tverberg is #16
Let’s see how his rookie season in the AHL went.
15 Mikko Kokkonen
2024 T25U25: Mikko Kokkonen is #15
Can Kokkonen break out of the AHL or has he already found his professional level?
14 Cade Webber
2024 T25U25: Cade Webber is #14
He is so big, he is so big.
13 Alex Steeves
2024 T25U25: Alex Steeves is #13
Will one of the best Marlies of all time make the breakthrough into the NHL?
17 Nicholas Moldenhauer
Moldenhauer finished two spots higher in the rankings than he did in the official vote and has a similar voting pattern to Ty Voit, who we saw last week. They both have only 15 N/A rankings and very few votes below 25. In other words, they were both ranked somewhere by a large majority of voters.
Moldenhauer has a slightly wider spread of serious votes than Voit, and Voit has some big vote totals in the 22-23 range. So there is more variance in Moldenhauer’s votes, but not much. Moldenhauer’s weighted average rating is 18.64 and Voit’s 18.97, showing that these two differences in the rankings can mislead you if you let them. These votes land almost tied, with the number 18 in between.
16 William Villenueve
Villenueve comes in at number 16, with his weighted average increasing slightly more to 17.87. He is also the first person on the ranking, with the tail of the histogram to the right showing that there was widespread opinion on how high a ranking would be enough for him.
Eleven is the new low in N/A votes, and although Villeneuve, who came in 21st in the official ballot, received a high rating from almost everyone, he was almost consistently placed in the bottom half of the list, with most votes coming close to the final ranking.
This is a dramatic difference from the official vote, and not just in terms of ranking. Many official voters did not rank him, giving him one vote out of 10, but the majority saw him at nearly 21.
15 Mikko Kokkonen
Kokkonen is ranked 15th, which is no longer funny. He landed on both lists, his weighted average of 14.99 is a big jump from the bottom of the community vote, and his voting pattern shows the first strong consensus vote.
Consensus is often confused with the idea of an average, but the two are very different. Consensus is, to put it less colloquially, a low-variance vote. Most people agree on it, as shown here by the very small spread of votes and the height of the bars – note that the Y axis is 20 for the first time since the lowest consensus vote for Semyon Der-Arguchintsev.
If there is disagreement about Kokkonen, it is really about what it means to be ranked 15th and what that says about his likely future.
14 Ryan Tverberg
Ryan Tverberg ranks 14th with a weighted average that is not much different from Kokkonen’s (14.67). His voting pattern is much more widely spread, with a very high midpoint (Y-axis again 20).
In the official vote, he was just behind Kokkonen, with a roughly equally small margin in the weighted average and a fairly strong consensus on the vote.
13 Noah Chadwick
Chadwick comes in with two first-place finishes: N/A votes under 10 and a very strong leftward deviation from the average. He is not yet listed on the official ballot, but is in 13th place with a weighted average of 13.89. This voting pattern shows a split decision.
The strong voting for 18th and 9th place shows the two opinions on him. Something (spoiler) we will see next week in the official voting (obvious spoiler).
Did you notice who placed in last week’s community vote and hasn’t shown up in the official vote yet?
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